Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Adrian Mannarino		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.91	1.89	Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.84	2.01
	1.82	2.02	Watch
	1.80	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.12)	1.96 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
51.5%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adrian Mannarino's performance.

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nikoloz Basilashvili might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Adrian Mannarino - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 83., and Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 124..

In recent outings, Mannarino has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Basilashvili is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Mannarino could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Basilashvili in today's match, at odds of 1.78.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Mannarino has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Adrian Mannarino - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.1%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Beijing
29.09.26	Adrian Mannarino - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
27.09.26	Adrian Mannarino - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Juncheng Shang - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWLWW
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Shanghai
06.10.26	Liam Draxl - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
05.10.26	Andre Ilagan - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
28.09.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Jenson Brooksby - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.09.24	Adrian Mannarino - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1
ATP Paris
01.11.21	Adrian Mannarino - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0
ATP Sofia
08.02.17	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Adrian Mannarino	2:0

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