Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 March 2025, Monday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.07	1.72	Watch
	2.18	1.64	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.45)	1.66 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
43.8%

Mackenzie McDonald
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nikoloz Basilashvili's performance.

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mackenzie McDonald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nikoloz Basilashvili that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mackenzie McDonald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 3 - 50%). McDonald will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 152. McDonald is ranked ATP: 109.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Basilashvili could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

McDonald will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Basilashvili won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:7 (average 0:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Nikoloz Basilashvili - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.92%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Corentin Moutet - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Taro Daniel - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Terence Atmane - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Marcos Giron - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLW
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
06.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.03.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Trevor Svajda - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
14.08.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.22	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Mackenzie McDonald	0:3
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Mackenzie McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide