Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Almaty 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Taro Daniel		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
			Watch
	2.30	1.57
	2.45	1.47
	2.27	1.6	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.77)	1.55 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taro Daniel
40%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
60%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taro Daniel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taro Daniel's performance.

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nikoloz Basilashvili might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Taro Daniel - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Daniel will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Daniel is ranked ATP: 177., and Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 124..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Basilashvili may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Basilashvili is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Daniel has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:6 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Taro Daniel - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.73%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taro Daniel
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Taro Daniel - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
28.09.26	Daniel Vallejo - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
25.09.26	Fabian Marozsan - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Dane Sweeny - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Taro Daniel - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWW
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Basilashvili N. Retired ✺
06.10.26	Liam Draxl - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
05.10.26	Andre Ilagan - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
28.09.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Jenson Brooksby - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Taro Daniel - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2
03.11.24	Taro Daniel - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2
ATP Barcelona
25.04.17	Taro Daniel - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2

Taro Daniel - Nikoloz Basilashvili