Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2	1.75	Watch
	2.1	1.8
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.75	Watch
	2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.06)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
45.8%

Francisco Cerundolo
54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mackenzie McDonald have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Francisco Cerundolo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 13 - 65%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 109. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 26.

McDonald is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cerundolo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cerundolo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches McDonald won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.03.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Trevor Svajda - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Matteo Gigante - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWW
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Santiago
01.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Laslo Djere	1:2 ✺
28.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
21.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
24.10.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	Canceled
ATP Shanghai
06.10.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2
ATP Eastbourne
01.07.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2

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