Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
	1.53	2.5
	1.55	2.4
	1.56	2.38	Watch
	1.63	2.4
	1.56	2.39	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.37	Watch
	1.56	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.48)	2.4 ↓ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
60.5%

Mikhail Kukushkin
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nikoloz Basilashvili, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikhail Kukushkin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Kukushkin will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 178. Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 112.

Basilashvili is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kukushkin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kukushkin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Basilashvili will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Basilashvili won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Montpellier
27.01.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Titouan Droguet	Droguet T. retired ✺
26.01.25	Matteo Gigante - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.01.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
23.01.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
21.01.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 ?WLWW
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
23.01.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
21.01.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
06.01.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
30.12.24	Jakub Mensik - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
28.12.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.02.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0
ATP Memphis
18.02.17	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide