Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.43	Watch
	2.64	1.42	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.59	1.44	Watch
	2.71	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.45)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
35.3%

Mark Lajal
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Mikhail Kukushkin - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kukushkin will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Lajal will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kukushkin (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Lajal (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Lajal (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kukushkin (votes: 2 - 50%). Lajal (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 262. Lajal is ranked ATP: 153.

Kukushkin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lajal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lajal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lajal could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kukushkin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Mark Lajal - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.06%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
20.01.26	Gastao Elias - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Stefan Kozlov - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Rudolf Molleker - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Clement Chidekh	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
16.01.26	Hynek Barton - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLW?W
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
20.01.26	Mark Lajal - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Mark Lajal - Oleg Prihodko	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Mark Lajal - Inaki Montes De La Torre	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Mark Lajal - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	James McCabe - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
06.01.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Mark Lajal	0:2

Mikhail Kukushkin - Mark Lajal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide