Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bistrita, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Noah Perfetti		Bogdan Pavel

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.27	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.42	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.63)	1.56 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noah Perfetti
40.4%

Bogdan Pavel
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noah Perfetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Bogdan Pavel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noah Perfetti than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noah Perfetti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogdan Pavel than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bogdan Pavel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Perfetti is ranked ATP: 986. Pavel is ranked ATP: 762.

Recent form of Perfetti has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pavel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pavel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pavel might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noah Perfetti
ITF Tournaments
15.04.25	Noah Perfetti - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
31.03.25	Guy Den Ouden - Noah Perfetti	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Noah Perfetti - Stefano Reitano	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Branko Djuric - Noah Perfetti	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Lorenzo Beraldo - Noah Perfetti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL
- Bogdan Pavel
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Amaury Raynel - Bogdan Pavel	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Matt Kuhar - Bogdan Pavel	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.25	Bogdan Pavel - Marcello Serafini	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Bogdan Pavel - Petros Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Kasidit Samrej - Bogdan Pavel	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLW?

Noah Perfetti - Bogdan Pavel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide