Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 8, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	Noemi Basiletti		Deborah Chiesa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.12
	1.47	2.46	Watch
	1.63	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.67)	2.22 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noemi Basiletti
58.4%

Deborah Chiesa
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noemi Basiletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Deborah Chiesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noemi Basiletti than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Noemi Basiletti - Deborah Chiesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basiletti is ranked WTA: 452. Chiesa is ranked WTA: 667.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Basiletti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Basiletti will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Basiletti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noemi Basiletti
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Iva Ivanova - Noemi Basiletti	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Noemi Basiletti - Alice Rame	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Lina Gjorcheska - Noemi Basiletti	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Laura Mair - Noemi Basiletti	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Marina Bassols Ribera - Noemi Basiletti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL
- Deborah Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Deborah Chiesa - Leonie Kung	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Deborah Chiesa - Isabella Maria Serban	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Deborah Chiesa - Fabiola Marino	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Anne Schaefer - Deborah Chiesa	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Francesca Gandolfi - Deborah Chiesa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW

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