Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Norbert Gombos		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	3.65	1.25	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.82	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.53)	1.73 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norbert Gombos
44.1%

Lucas Poullain
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norbert Gombos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Norbert Gombos's form might have worsened.

Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucas Poullain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norbert Gombos than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norbert Gombos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucas Poullain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Norbert Gombos - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gombos will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Poullain will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Poullain (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gombos is ranked ATP: 296. Poullain is ranked ATP: 459.

Gombos is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Poullain is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Poullain may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Poullain will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Norbert Gombos - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.77%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Alexandre Muller - Norbert Gombos	Canceled ✺
07.02.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.01.26	Norbert Gombos - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
16.01.26	Norbert Gombos - Clement Chidekh	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Norbert Gombos - Liam Broady	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 ?LLLW
- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
23.02.26	Robin Catry - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Arthur Nagel - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Lucas Poullain - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Lucas Poullain - Leo Raquillet	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Lucas Poullain - Luc Fomba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWW

Norbert Gombos - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide