Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday


	Robin Catry		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
			Watch
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	5.29	1.13	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.52	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.52)	1.49 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robin Catry
34.2%

Lucas Poullain
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robin Catry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robin Catry than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Robin Catry - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Catry is ranked ATP: 554. Poullain is ranked ATP: 418.

Catry has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Poullain has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Poullain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Poullain could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Catry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Lucas Poullain - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 63.96%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Robin Catry
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Tom Paris - Robin Catry	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.02.26	Robin Catry - Tibo Colson	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Robin Catry	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Robin Catry - Leo Lagarrigue	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Robin Catry - Antonin Witz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW
- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Arthur Nagel - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Lucas Poullain - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Lucas Poullain - Leo Raquillet	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Lucas Poullain - Luc Fomba	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Clement Tabur - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Lucas Poullain - Robin Catry	2:0
ITF Tournaments
03.07.24	Lucas Poullain - Robin Catry	2:1

Robin Catry - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide