Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: PARIS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2


	Novak Djokovic		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.2
	1.35	3.2
	1.4	3.22
	1.4	3.23
	1.36	3.1
	1.46	2.72	Watch
	1.38	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)	3.14 ↑ (3)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novak Djokovic
69.4%

Andrey Rublev
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novak Djokovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novak Djokovic than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.2%	0%	4.8%

Novak Djokovic - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: Novak Djokovic will win (40 of 42 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Djokovic won 4.

Djokovic in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Rublev is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rublev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Djokovic is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Djokovic to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Djokovic won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novak Djokovic
ATP Paris
03.11.23	Novak Djokovic - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1 ✺
02.11.23	Novak Djokovic - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
01.11.23	Novak Djokovic - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
10.09.23	Daniil Medvedev - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Paris
03.11.23	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
02.11.23	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
31.10.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
28.10.23	Andrey Rublev - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
27.10.23	Alexander Zverev - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
11.07.23	Andrey Rublev - Novak Djokovic	1:3
ATP Australian Open
25.01.23	Andrey Rublev - Novak Djokovic	0:3
ATP World Tour Finals
16.11.22	Andrey Rublev - Novak Djokovic	0:2
ATP Belgrade
24.04.22	Novak Djokovic - Andrey Rublev	1:2
ATP World Tour Finals
17.11.21	Novak Djokovic - Andrey Rublev	2:0
Exhibition Adria Tour Men
21.06.20	Novak Djokovic - Andrey Rublev	Canceled

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