Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - FINAL

Date: 10 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1
Denmark	Eurosport 1
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Switzerland	SRF
Turkey	Eurosport 1
World	Eurosport 1


	Daniil Medvedev		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	2.88	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.44
	2.8	1.43
	2.97	1.45
	2.9	1.44
	3.1	1.47	Watch
	2.9	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.03)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
33.1%

Novak Djokovic
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Novak Djokovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novak Djokovic than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.2%	0%	37.8%

Daniil Medvedev - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 98 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 61 - 62.2%). Djokovic will win (votes: 37 - 37.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 52.6% – 71.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 2.

Two players got a triumph in the latest matches.

In this match Djokovic is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Djokovic to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP US Open
08.09.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniil Medvedev	1:3 ✺
06.09.23	Daniil Medvedev - Andrey Rublev	3:0 ✺
04.09.23	Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Daniil Medvedev - Sebastian Baez	3:0 ✺
31.08.23	Daniil Medvedev - Christopher OConnell	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW
- Novak Djokovic
ATP US Open
08.09.23	Ben Shelton - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
05.09.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
03.09.23	Borna Gojo - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
01.09.23	Laslo Djere - Novak Djokovic	2:3 ✺
30.08.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
03.03.23	Novak Djokovic - Daniil Medvedev	0:2
ATP Adelaide
07.01.23	Novak Djokovic - Daniil Medvedev	2:0
ATP World Tour Finals
18.11.22	Daniil Medvedev - Novak Djokovic	1:2
ATP Astana
08.10.22	Novak Djokovic - Daniil Medvedev	Medvedev D. retired
ATP Paris
07.11.21	Novak Djokovic - Daniil Medvedev	2:1
ATP US Open
12.09.21	Novak Djokovic - Daniil Medvedev	0:3
ATP Australian Open
21.02.21	Novak Djokovic - Daniil Medvedev	3:0

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