Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Germany	Discovery+(Ger)
Hungary	Max
Italy	Discovery+
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK


	Novak Djokovic		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.26	3.7
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.26	3.84	Watch
	1.25	4
	1.28	4.14	Watch
	1.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.22)	3.95 ↓ (4.15)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novak Djokovic
75.9%

Tomas Machac
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novak Djokovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.7%	1.7%	61.7%

Novak Djokovic - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Djokovic will win (votes: 22 - 37.3%). Machac will win (votes: 37 - 62.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 50.4% – 75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Djokovic is ranked ATP: 7. Machac is ranked ATP: 25.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Machac could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Djokovic is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Djokovic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novak Djokovic
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Novak Djokovic - Jaime Faria	3:1 ✺
13.01.25	Novak Djokovic - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
03.01.25	Novak Djokovic - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
02.01.25	Novak Djokovic - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
31.12.24	Novak Djokovic - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLWW
- Tomas Machac
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Reilly Opelka - Tomas Machac	2:3 ✺
12.01.25	Sumit Nagal - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
ATP United Cup
04.01.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
03.01.25	Flavio Cobolli - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
31.12.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Geneva
24.05.24	Novak Djokovic - Tomas Machac	1:2
ATP Dubai
28.02.23	Novak Djokovic - Tomas Machac	2:1

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