Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday


	Reilly Opelka		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.32	1.58	Watch
	2.38	1.64
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.31	1.62	Watch
	2.32	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.32)	1.6 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
40.8%

Tomas Machac
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Reilly Opelka - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Machac will win (votes: 13 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Opelka: 30.8% – 69.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 12.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reilly Opelka will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Opelka is ranked ATP: 74. Machac is ranked ATP: 22.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Opelka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Machac might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Opelka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Tomas Machac - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 60.57%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Sebastian Ofner - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
23.07.25	Daniil Medvedev - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Reilly Opelka - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	Brandon Nakashima - Reilly Opelka	3:1 ✺
01.07.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Reilly Opelka	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLW
- Tomas Machac
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	August Holmgren - Tomas Machac	3:2 ✺
01.07.25	Damir Dzumhur - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
ATP Halle
20.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Fabian Marozsan - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Jesper De Jong - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
24.03.25	Reilly Opelka - Tomas Machac	0:2
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Reilly Opelka - Tomas Machac	2:3

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