Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Flavio Cobolli		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	2.31	1.58	Watch
			Watch
	1.79	2.07	Watch
	1.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.31)	2 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
52.1%

Tomas Machac
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flavio Cobolli's performance.

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tomas Machac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flavio Cobolli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tomas Machac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Flavio Cobolli - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Cobolli will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Machac will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cobolli: 63.4% – 93.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Flavio Cobolli will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cobolli is ranked ATP: 22. Machac is ranked ATP: 31.

In recent matches, Cobolli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Machac is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Machac may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cobolli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Flavio Cobolli - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.62%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Vienna
23.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Tomas Machac - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
17.10.25	James Duckworth - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Rinky Hijikata - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Jaume Munar - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWL
- Tomas Machac
ATP Vienna
22.10.25	Tomas Machac - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	Valentin Vacherot - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
03.10.25	Mattia Bellucci - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Tomas Machac - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.25	Tomas Machac - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 L?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
22.10.25	Tomas Machac - Flavio Cobolli	0:2
ATP United Cup
03.01.25	Flavio Cobolli - Tomas Machac	0:2
ATP Challenger
23.11.22	Flavio Cobolli - Tomas Machac	0:2
ATP US Open
26.08.22	Flavio Cobolli - Tomas Machac	1:2

Flavio Cobolli - Tomas Machac: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide