Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MAIA (PORTUGAL), CLAY (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Nuno Borges		Maximilian Neuchrist

	1	2
	1.18	4.5	Watch
	1.19	4.1
	1.22	4.25
	1.17	4.3
	1.19	5.01
	1.2	4.33
	1.18	4.65	Watch
	1.21	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.35)	4.46 ↑ (2.89)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
78.9%

Maximilian Neuchrist
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nuno Borges's performance.

Maximilian Neuchrist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maximilian Neuchrist might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuno Borges that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximilian Neuchrist than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maximilian Neuchrist could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Nuno Borges - Maximilian Neuchrist Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Neuchrist will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Borges is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neuchrist in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Borges could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Borges is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Challenger
02.12.22	Nuno Borges - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
01.12.22	Nuno Borges - Pedro Sousa	Sousa P. retired ✺
29.11.22	Nuno Borges - Denis Istomin	2:0 ✺
23.11.22	Nuno Borges - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
21.11.22	Nuno Borges - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 W?WLW
- Maximilian Neuchrist
ATP Challenger
02.12.22	Jan Choinski - Maximilian Neuchrist	1:2 ✺
01.12.22	Maximilian Neuchrist - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
30.11.22	Joao Domingues - Maximilian Neuchrist	0:2 ✺
28.11.22	Maximilian Neuchrist - Andrea Picchione	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Maximilian Neuchrist - Tiago Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW

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