Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VALENCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 23 November 2022, Wednesday


	Nuno Borges		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.47	2.6
	1.46	2.65
	1.51	2.6
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)	2.62 ↑ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
64.2%

Andrea Pellegrino
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Nuno Borges aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Andrea Pellegrino aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Nuno Borges - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Pellegrino will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pellegrino: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Borges is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pellegrino is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pellegrino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Borges is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Borges won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Challenger
21.11.22	Nuno Borges - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Otto Virtanen - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
04.11.22	Andrea Vavassori - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
02.11.22	Dennis Novak - Nuno Borges	Novak D. retired ✺
31.10.22	Jozef Kovalik - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLW?W
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
22.11.22	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
ATP Napoli
17.10.22	Stefano Napolitano - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.22	Jozef Kovalik - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
27.09.22	Filip Misolic - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	Andrea Pellegrino - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.05.22	Andrea Pellegrino - Nuno Borges	2:0
22.02.22	Andrea Pellegrino - Nuno Borges	0:2
16.02.22	Andrea Pellegrino - Nuno Borges	0:2

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