Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Nuno Borges		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	3.40	1.33	Watch
	3.20	1.34
	3.20	1.35	Watch
	3.19	1.33	Watch
	3.45	1.33
	3.35	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.75)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
28.9%

Novak Djokovic
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuno Borges's form might have worsened.

Novak Djokovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novak Djokovic's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Nuno Borges - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Djokovic will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djokovic: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Borges (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Djokovic (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 49., and Djokovic is ranked ATP: 11..

In recent outings, Borges has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Borges may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Djokovic carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Borges has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Nuno Borges - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
20.09.26	Cesar Cruz - Nuno Borges	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Diego Duran - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Nuno Borges - Learner Tien	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.26	Nuno Borges - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 ??WLL
- Novak Djokovic
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Mariano Navone - Novak Djokovic	3:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Novak Djokovic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
10.07.26	Jannik Sinner - Novak Djokovic	3:0 ✺
07.07.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Novak Djokovic	2:3 ✺
05.07.26	Roman Safiullin - Novak Djokovic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Athens
06.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Nuno Borges	2:0

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