Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Nuno Borges		Learner Tien

	1	2
	2.63	1.50	Watch
	2.60	1.48
	2.70	1.46
	2.81	1.51
	2.71	1.44	Watch
	2.70	1.49
	2.77	1.53	Watch
	2.65	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.51)	1.49 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
35.6%

Learner Tien
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nuno Borges - Learner Tien Predictions

Users Predictions: Learner Tien will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 47. Tien is ranked ATP: 12.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tien will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Borges won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Nuno Borges - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.88%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Learner Tien - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 62.12%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.26	Nuno Borges - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Nuno Borges - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Nuno Borges - Thanasi Kokkinakis	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
08.08.26	Nuno Borges - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWL
- Learner Tien
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.26	Learner Tien - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Learner Tien - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
12.08.26	Learner Tien - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Learner Tien - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Learner Tien - Nuno Borges	3:0
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Learner Tien - Nuno Borges	2:0

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