Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - Final

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday

Referee: Blom J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2, Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 3


	Nuno Borges		Rafael Nadal

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3	1.4
	2.95	1.41	Watch
	2.94	1.45
	2.95	1.45	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.05	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.68)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
32.3%

Rafael Nadal
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Rafael Nadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Nadal than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.6%	0%	48.4%

Nuno Borges - Rafael Nadal Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 16 - 51.6%). Nadal will win (votes: 15 - 48.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 34% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

In this match Nadal is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nadal to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Bastad
20.07.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Timofey Skatov - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
18.07.24	Henrique Rocha - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
16.07.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Nuno Borges	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL
- Rafael Nadal
ATP Bastad
20.07.24	Rafael Nadal - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
19.07.24	Rafael Nadal - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
18.07.24	Cameron Norrie - Rafael Nadal	0:2 ✺
16.07.24	Rafael Nadal - Leo Borg	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Alexander Zverev - Rafael Nadal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWL

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