Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Ognjen Milic		Fajing Sun

	1	2
	2.41	1.64
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.18	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.7)	1.59 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ognjen Milic
41.1%

Fajing Sun
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ognjen Milic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ognjen Milic's performance.

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fajing Sun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ognjen Milic than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ognjen Milic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fajing Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Ognjen Milic - Fajing Sun Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Milic will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Sun will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sun: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Milic is ranked ATP: 407. Sun is ranked ATP: 213.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Milic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Sun will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ognjen Milic
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Ognjen Milic - Renta Tokuda	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Ognjen Milic - Blake Ellis	Milic O. Retired ✺
02.04.26	Yi Zhou - Ognjen Milic	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Ognjen Milic	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Ognjen Milic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 W?WWL
- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Fajing Sun - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Fajing Sun - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Fajing Sun - Giles Hussey	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Fajing Sun - Khumoun Sultanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWW

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