Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Hayato Matsuoka		Ognjen Milic

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.74	2.18
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.1)	2.04 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayato Matsuoka
54.3%

Ognjen Milic
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hayato Matsuoka's performance.

Ognjen Milic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ognjen Milic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ognjen Milic than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Hayato Matsuoka - Ognjen Milic Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Matsuoka will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Milic will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milic: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 376. Milic is ranked ATP: 417.

Matsuoka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Milic is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Milic will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Daniil Ostapenkov	Canceled ✺
02.03.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Muzammil Murtaza	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Marc Polmans - Hayato Matsuoka	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 ?WLWW
- Ognjen Milic
ITF Tournaments
04.03.26	Kerem Yilmaz - Ognjen Milic	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Ognjen Milic - Faris Zakaryia	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Ognjen Milic - Jacob Bradshaw	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Ognjen Milic - Anton Arzhankin	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Ognjen Milic - Attila Boros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW

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