Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 2, hard - Final

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Fajing Sun		Li Tu

	1	2
	2.2	1.74
	2.19	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.15	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.28)	1.66 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
43.2%

Li Tu
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Li Tu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Fajing Sun - Li Tu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 244. Tu is ranked ATP: 381.

Now, both players are in good form.

Tu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Tu will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Fajing Sun - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.31%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
18.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Fajing Sun - Giles Hussey	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Fajing Sun - Khumoun Sultanov	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Fajing Sun - Tai Sach	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Fajing Sun - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL
- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Li Tu - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Li Tu - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Keegan Smith - Li Tu	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Harry Wendelken - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.05.25	Li Tu - Fajing Sun	0:2

Fajing Sun - Li Tu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide