Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Pitesti, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday


	Oleksandr Ovcharenko		Filiberto Fumagalli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.18	4.10
	1.20	4.00
	1.21	4.5
	1.18	4.16	Watch
	1.21	4.65
	1.17	4.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.55)	4.32 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
78.4%

Filiberto Fumagalli
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oleksandr Ovcharenko's performance.

Filiberto Fumagalli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Filiberto Fumagalli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-21.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oleksandr Ovcharenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filiberto Fumagalli than the current prediction. (+21.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Filiberto Fumagalli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Filiberto Fumagalli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 596. Fumagalli is ranked ATP: 1246.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fumagalli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ovcharenko is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
22.07.26	Tudor Batin - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Radu David Turcanu	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Semen Aginskiy - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Dragos Nicolae Cazacu	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Stefan Ilie Petre Bogdan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWW
- Filiberto Fumagalli
ITF Tournaments
17.07.26	Lorenzo Bocchi - Filiberto Fumagalli	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Mak Mikovic - Filiberto Fumagalli	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Filiberto Fumagalli - Jeremy Gschwendtner	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Filiberto Fumagalli	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Filiberto Fumagalli - Lorenzo Bocchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLW

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Filiberto Fumagalli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide