Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 6, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Oleksandr Ovcharenko		Florent Bax

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	3
	1.34	3.16
			Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.31	3.2	Watch
	1.27	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.5)	3.17 ↑ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
70.7%

Florent Bax
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oleksandr Ovcharenko's performance.

Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Florent Bax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oleksandr Ovcharenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Florent Bax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Florent Bax Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 355. Bax is ranked ATP: 417.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ovcharenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ovcharenko is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ovcharenko won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Kyle Edmund	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Manel Lazaro Juncadella	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.04.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL
- Florent Bax
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Taha Baadi - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Florent Bax - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Florent Bax - Joel Meda	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Florent Bax - Kwami Dussey	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWW

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Florent Bax: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide