Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8 (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday


	Oleksandr Ovcharenko		Sebastian Sorger

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.59	2.16
	1.65	2.13
	1.6	2.19	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.65	2.13	Watch
	1.59	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.48)	2.13 ↓ (2.44)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
56.7%

Sebastian Sorger
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oleksandr Ovcharenko's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Sorger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Sorger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oleksandr Ovcharenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Sorger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 418. Sorger is ranked ATP: 588.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sorger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ovcharenko will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ovcharenko won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.24	Daniel Cukierman - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	Canceled ✺
13.09.24	Yshai Oliel - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.08.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
23.08.24	Dominik Kellovsky - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 ?LLWW
- Sebastian Sorger
ATP Challenger
17.09.24	Mika Brunold - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Sebastian Sorger - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Sebastian Sorger - Nino Serdarusic	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.24	Sebastian Sorger - Neil Oberleitner	1:2 ✺
29.08.24	Sebastian Sorger - Michael Bassem Sobhy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.03.24	Sebastian Sorger - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Sebastian Sorger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide