Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Villena 2 (Spain), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday


	Oliver Crawford		Miguel Damas

	1	2
	1.44	2.68
	1.4	2.75
	1.44	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.64)	2.68 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliver Crawford
65.3%

Miguel Damas
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliver Crawford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oliver Crawford's performance.

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Damas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliver Crawford than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oliver Crawford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Damas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oliver Crawford - Miguel Damas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Crawford is ranked ATP: 389. Damas is ranked ATP: 429.

Crawford is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Damas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Damas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Crawford will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Oliver Crawford - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.18%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliver Crawford
ITF Tournaments
27.02.25	Oliver Crawford - Adrien Gobat	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Oliver Crawford - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Darwin Blanch - Oliver Crawford	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Mees Rottgering - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW
- Miguel Damas
ITF Tournaments
27.02.25	Samuele Pieri - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Iliyan Radulov - Miguel Damas	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.02.25	Lucas Marionneau - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Clement Tabur - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Arthur Reymond - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLL

Oliver Crawford - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide