Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roehampton, hard - Final

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday


	Oliver Tarvet		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
			Watch
	1.30	3.20
	1.25	3.80	Watch
	1.30	3.84
	1.26	3.44	Watch
	1.28	3.75
	1.24	3.65	Watch
	1.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.48)	3.6 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliver Tarvet
74%

Lucas Poullain
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliver Tarvet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oliver Tarvet's performance.

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Poullain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliver Tarvet than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oliver Tarvet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Poullain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oliver Tarvet - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tarvet is ranked ATP: 380. Poullain is ranked ATP: 369.

Tarvet is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Poullain is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Tarvet is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliver Tarvet
ATP Challenger
21.08.26	Anton Matusevich - Oliver Tarvet	1:2 ✺
20.08.26	Oliver Tarvet - Charles Broom	Interrupted ✺
19.08.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Oliver Tarvet	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	John Echeverria - Oliver Tarvet	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.08.26	Charles Broom - Oliver Tarvet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 W?WWL
- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
21.08.26	Lui Maxted - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Michael Geerts - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Viktor Durasovic - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Lucas Poullain - Max Basing	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Lucas Poullain - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWWW

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