Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roehampton, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	Lui Maxted		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.01	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.81
	2.01	1.72	Watch
	2.02	1.77
	1.95	1.74	Watch
	2.01	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2.01)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lui Maxted
46.1%

Lucas Poullain
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lui Maxted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Lui Maxted - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Maxted will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Poullain will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Maxted is ranked ATP: 403. Poullain is ranked ATP: 369.

Maxted is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Poullain is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Poullain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Poullain will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucas Poullain - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.18%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lui Maxted
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Lui Maxted - Gabi Adrian Boitan	Interrupted ✺
19.08.26	Lui Maxted - Patrick Brady	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Matteo Martineau - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.08.26	Charles Broom - Lui Maxted	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Lui Maxted - Mark Ceban	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 ?WWLW
- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Michael Geerts - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Viktor Durasovic - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Lucas Poullain - Max Basing	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Lucas Poullain - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Lucas Poullain - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWWWW

Lui Maxted - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide