Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday


	Omar Jasika		Hikaru Shiraishi

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.66	2.09	Watch
	1.7	2.23
	2.13	1.65	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.66	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.83)	2.04 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omar Jasika
53.8%

Hikaru Shiraishi
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omar Jasika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Hikaru Shiraishi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Omar Jasika that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hikaru Shiraishi than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hikaru Shiraishi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Omar Jasika - Hikaru Shiraishi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jasika is ranked ATP: 349. Shiraishi is ranked ATP: 430.

Recent form of Jasika has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shiraishi has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Jasika may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jasika won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omar Jasika
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Tai Sach - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Daniel Michalski - Omar Jasika	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Lilian Marmousez - Omar Jasika	Marmousez L. retired ✺
21.01.26	Omar Jasika - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Omar Jasika	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LL?LW
- Hikaru Shiraishi
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Blake Ellis - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Tim Handel - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Hikaru Shiraishi - Neil Oberleitner	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Akira Santillan - Hikaru Shiraishi	Santillan A. retired ✺
06.01.26	Kasidit Samrej - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLL?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.02.24	Hikaru Shiraishi - Omar Jasika	0:2

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