Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane (Australia), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 31 January 2025, Friday


	Omar Jasika		Marek Gengel

	1	2
	1.62	2.2
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.16
	1.72	2.19
	1.69	2.15	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.69	2.09	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.42)	2.16 ↓ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omar Jasika
56.8%

Marek Gengel
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omar Jasika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omar Jasika's form might have worsened.

Marek Gengel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marek Gengel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omar Jasika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marek Gengel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Omar Jasika - Marek Gengel Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Jasika will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Gengel will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jasika is ranked ATP: 208. Gengel is ranked ATP: 254.

Recent matches Jasika is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gengel is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jasika will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omar Jasika
ATP Challenger
30.01.25	James McCabe - Omar Jasika	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Christian Langmo - Omar Jasika	0:2 ✺
27.01.25	Jacob Bradshaw - Omar Jasika	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.25	Hugo Gaston - Omar Jasika	3:1 ✺
ATP Adelaide
05.01.25	Rinky Hijikata - Omar Jasika	Jasika O. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWL?
- Marek Gengel
ATP Challenger
30.01.25	Blake Ellis - Marek Gengel	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	Marek Gengel - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
27.01.25	Marek Gengel - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Marek Gengel - Pawit Sornlaksup	0:2 ✺
07.01.25	Marek Gengel - Hiroki Moriya	Gengel M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWL?

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