Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CURITIBA (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Orlando Luz		Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.75	2.12
	1.75	2.12
	1.73	2
	1.71	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.1)	2.05 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Luz
54.3%

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando Luz's performance.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Luz than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando Luz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Orlando Luz - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Luz will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Dellien Velasco will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Dellien Velasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Luz
ATP Challenger
16.10.23	Blaise Bicknell - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Orlando Luz	0:2 ✺
06.10.23	Orlando Luz - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Federico Coria - Orlando Luz	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Orlando Luz - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWLWW
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
09.10.23	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Gonzalo Lama	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
03.10.23	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Dellien Velasco M. A. retired ✺
29.09.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWW?L

Orlando Luz - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide