Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florianopolis, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday


	Orlando Luz		Pedro Sakamoto

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.11	1.65
	3.10	1.33	Watch
			Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.44	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.88)	1.54 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Luz
39.3%

Pedro Sakamoto
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando Luz's performance.

Pedro Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Sakamoto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Luz than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando Luz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Sakamoto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Orlando Luz - Pedro Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Luz will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Luz is ranked ATP: 987. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 397.

Luz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Sakamoto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sakamoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sakamoto will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Luz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Luz
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Orlando Luz - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:1 ✺
17.11.25	Orlando Luz - Natan Rodrigues	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Orlando Luz - Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Andrea Collarini - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Orlando Luz - Cezar Cretu	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWL?
- Pedro Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Ezequiel Monferrer	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Natan Rodrigues	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Pedro Boscardin Dias	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.03.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Orlando Luz	1:2
05.11.19	Orlando Luz - Pedro Sakamoto	0:2

Orlando Luz - Pedro Sakamoto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide