Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DUBAI (UNITED ARAB EMIRATES), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 February 2023, Monday


	Alexei Popyrin		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.58	2.4
	1.6	2.48
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.52	2.53	Watch
	1.58	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)	2.41 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
60.4%

Pavel Kotov
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	0%	9.5%

Alexei Popyrin - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexei Popyrin will win (38 of 42 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.6% – 99.36%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Popyrin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Popyrin will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Challenger
17.02.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
16.02.23	Viktor Durasovic - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
14.02.23	Otto Virtanen - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.23	Alexei Popyrin - Ben Shelton	0:3 ✺
18.01.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexei Popyrin	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWWLW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Dubai
26.02.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Pavel Kotov	Shevchenko A. retired ✺
25.02.23	Pavel Kotov - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Yuki Bhambri - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.02.23	Vit Kopriva - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 ?WLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.07.18	Pavel Kotov - Alexei Popyrin	0:2

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