Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty (Kazakhstan), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday


	Otto Virtanen		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.54	2.44	Watch
	1.54	2.61
	1.54	2.54	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.54	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.46)	2.48 ↓ (2.74)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
61.6%

Fabio Fognini
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Otto Virtanen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Otto Virtanen - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Virtanen will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Fognini will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fognini: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Virtanen is ranked ATP: 114. Fognini is ranked ATP: 81.

Virtanen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fognini is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Virtanen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Virtanen will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Shanghai
30.09.24	Otto Virtanen - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
23.09.24	Otto Virtanen - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.24	Otto Virtanen - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
12.09.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
11.09.24	Otto Virtanen - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Challenger
10.10.24	Fabio Fognini - Chun Hsin Tseng	1:2 ✺
09.10.24	Fabio Fognini - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
09.10.24	Fabio Fognini - Ray Ho	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Tommy Paul - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Fabio Fognini - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLW

Otto Virtanen - Fabio Fognini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide