Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday


	Fabio Fognini		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.08	1.76	Watch
	2.13	1.78
	2.07	1.79	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.77	Watch
	2.08	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.03)	1.77 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
46.1%

Luciano Darderi
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	0%	64.3%

Fabio Fognini - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Darderi will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fognini is ranked ATP: 80. Darderi is ranked ATP: 41.

The competitors look crappy now.

Darderi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fognini won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.86%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Beijing
24.09.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.24	Roman Safiullin - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Fabio Fognini - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.08.24	Fabio Fognini - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
02.08.24	Fabio Fognini - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Tokyo
24.09.24	Mariano Navone - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.24	Luciano Darderi - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.24	David Goffin - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Luciano Darderi - Flavio Cobolli	Darderi L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.06.24	Luciano Darderi - Fabio Fognini	2:0

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