Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ROANNE (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 11 November 2022, Friday


	Otto Virtanen		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.45	1.53
	2.33	1.59
	2.36	1.62
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.52	1.5	Watch
	2.36	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.16)	1.56 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
39.6%

Pavel Kotov
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.8%	0%	16.2%

Otto Virtanen - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: Otto Virtanen will win (31 of 37 users predict this - 83.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.9% – 95.66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Virtanen in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Kotov is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kotov will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
10.11.22	Otto Virtanen - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
08.11.22	Hugo Grenier - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Jan-Lennard Struff - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
05.11.22	Otto Virtanen - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
04.11.22	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWWWW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
10.11.22	Pablo Andujar-Alba - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
08.11.22	Alexander Ritschard - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
16.10.22	Pavel Kotov - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Pavel Kotov - Peter Gojowczyk	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
05.10.22	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

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