Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 June 2026, Monday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Otto Virtanen		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.17	5.00
	1.15	5.00
	1.16	4.90
	1.15	5.87
	1.2	4.29	Watch
	1.12	5.50
	1.17	5.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.36)	5.12 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
81.5%

Pedro Martinez Portero
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Otto Virtanen's performance.

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Otto Virtanen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Otto Virtanen - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: Otto Virtanen will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Virtanen is ranked ATP: 160. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 136.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Martinez Portero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Virtanen is the obvious favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Otto Virtanen - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 68.81%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Pedro Martinez Portero - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.19%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
20.06.26	Otto Virtanen - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
19.06.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Billy Harris - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Otto Virtanen - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Otto Virtanen	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWW?
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Felix Balshaw	1:2 ✺
09.06.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:0 ✺
03.06.26	Henri Squire - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
01.06.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLW

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