Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Otto Virtanen		Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.25	3.6	Watch
	1.27	4.01
	1.27	3.46	Watch
			Watch
	1.26	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.44)	3.66 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
74.4%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Otto Virtanen's performance.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Otto Virtanen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Otto Virtanen - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Virtanen will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gueymard Wayenburg will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtanen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Gueymard Wayenburg (1.94) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +4 Games - Gueymard Wayenburg (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtanen (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Gueymard Wayenburg (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Virtanen is ranked ATP: 141. Gueymard Wayenburg is ranked ATP: 219.

Virtanen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gueymard Wayenburg is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Virtanen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Virtanen could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Otto Virtanen - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.49%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.51%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
07.11.25	Marin Cilic - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Gauthier Onclin - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Alexander Blockx - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Otto Virtanen - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW
- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
ATP Challenger
07.11.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Matej Dodig - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Borna Gojo	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWW

Otto Virtanen - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide