Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Marin Cilic		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.86	1.84	Watch
	2	1.85
	1.86	1.86	Watch
			Watch
	1.86	1.82	Watch
	1.8	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.56)	1.84 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
49.6%

Otto Virtanen
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marin Cilic's form might have worsened.

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Otto Virtanen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marin Cilic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Otto Virtanen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Marin Cilic - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Virtanen will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cilic (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Virtanen (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 79. Virtanen is ranked ATP: 141.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Virtanen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cilic might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Challenger
05.11.25	Marin Cilic - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Marin Cilic - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
23.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	David Goffin - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	David Goffin - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Gauthier Onclin - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Alexander Blockx - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Otto Virtanen - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Martin Landaluce - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW

Marin Cilic - Otto Virtanen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide