Match Info

Date: 11 April 2022, Monday


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.44	2.8	Watch
	1.42	2.75
	1.44	3.02
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.41	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 (1.43)	2.84 ↑ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
66.5%

Sebastian Baez
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.7%	0%	4.3%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (44 of 46 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Baez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carreno Busta will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Miami
27.03.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
25.03.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
23.02.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
21.02.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Oscar Otte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.22	Sebastian Baez - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Sebastian Baez - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.22	Sebastian Baez - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.22	Sebastian Baez - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.22	Nick Kyrgios - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL

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