Match Info

Date: 16 March 2022, Wednesday


	Sebastian Baez		Facundo Bagnis

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.49	2.55	Watch
	1.42	2.6
	1.45	2.8
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.46)	2.67 ↓ (2.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
65%

Facundo Bagnis
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Facundo Bagnis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Sebastian Baez - Facundo Bagnis Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Bagnis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Baez will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Baez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.22	Nick Kyrgios - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
05.03.22	Sebastian Baez - Tomas Machac	Canceled ✺
04.03.22	Sebastian Baez - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
26.02.22	Sebastian Baez - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 L?WLW
- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.22	Facundo Bagnis - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
11.03.22	Facundo Bagnis - Henri Laaksonen	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
25.02.22	Facundo Bagnis - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2 ✺
23.02.22	Facundo Bagnis - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
21.02.22	Facundo Bagnis - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.11.19	Sebastian Baez - Facundo Bagnis	0:2

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