Match Info

Date: 24 August 2021, Tuesday


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Soon Woo Kwon

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.22	4.1
	1.22	4.35	Watch
	1.21	4.1
	1.25	4.45
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.24	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.32)	4.25 ↑ (3.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
77.6%

Soon Woo Kwon
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Carreno-Busta's performance.

Soon Woo Kwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Soon Woo Kwon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Carreno-Busta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Soon Woo Kwon than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Soon Woo Kwon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.4%	0%	9.6%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Soon Woo Kwon Predictions

Users Predictions: Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (47 of 52 users predict this - 90.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.37% – 98.39%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

In this match Kwon is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kwon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Cincinnati
20.08.21	Daniil Medvedev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
19.08.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
18.08.21	Dominik Koepfer - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
31.07.21	Novak Djokovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
30.07.21	Karen Khachanov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWWWL
- Soon Woo Kwon
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.21	Radu Albot - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.21	Tommy Paul - Soon Woo Kwon	2:0 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
25.07.21	Soon Woo Kwon - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.21	Dominik Koepfer - Soon Woo Kwon	3:2 ✺
29.06.21	Soon Woo Kwon - Daniel Masur	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marbella
09.04.21	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Soon Woo Kwon	2:0

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