Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday


	Beibit Zhukayev		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.84	1.94
	1.90	1.84	Watch
			Watch
	1.46	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.46)	2.05 ↓ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibit Zhukayev
53.8%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibit Zhukayev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beibit Zhukayev's form might have worsened.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pablo Llamas Ruiz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beibit Zhukayev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Llamas Ruiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Beibit Zhukayev - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Zhukayev will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pablo Llamas Ruiz will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 206. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 360.

In recent matches, Zhukayev has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Llamas Ruiz is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zhukayev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zhukayev will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Beibit Zhukayev - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 63.59%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Rafael Matos	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Trevor Svajda	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Patrick Maloney	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Robin Haase - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
24.07.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Llamas Ruiz P. retired ✺
22.07.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 W?WWW

Beibit Zhukayev - Pablo Llamas Ruiz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide