Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Dubrovnik, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dubrovnik 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Pablo Masjuan Ginel		Carlos Lopez Montagud

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Pablo Masjuan Ginel
52.6%

Carlos Lopez Montagud
47.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Masjuan Ginel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Carlos Lopez Montagud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Masjuan Ginel than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Masjuan Ginel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Masjuan Ginel is ranked ATP: 769. Lopez Montagud is ranked ATP: 491.

Recent matches Masjuan Ginel is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lopez Montagud is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Masjuan Ginel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Masjuan Ginel
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Nick Hardt - Pablo Masjuan Ginel	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Pablo Masjuan Ginel - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.03.25	Pablo Masjuan Ginel - Damian Wenger	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Francesco Ferrari - Pablo Masjuan Ginel	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Pablo Masjuan Ginel - Maxence Rivet	Rivet M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLW?
- Carlos Lopez Montagud
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Andres Santamarta Roig - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Mathys Erhard - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Mert Naci Turker	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Bekkhan Atlangeriev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Pablo Masjuan Ginel - Carlos Lopez Montagud