Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 1 May 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	O2 TV Tenis
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Paula Badosa		Maria Sakkari

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.45	2.8
	1.45	2.73
	1.47	2.9
	1.5	2.6
	1.44	2.79	Watch
	1.48	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.71)	2.74 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paula Badosa
65.2%

Maria Sakkari
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paula Badosa's performance.

Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Sakkari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paula Badosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Sakkari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Paula Badosa - Maria Sakkari Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Badosa will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Sakkari will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Badosa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sakkari is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Badosa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Badosa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Badosa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA Madrid
29.04.23	Cori Gauff - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
27.04.23	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Paula Badosa	1:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
21.04.23	Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2 ✺
20.04.23	Paula Badosa - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
18.04.23	Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW
- Maria Sakkari
WTA Madrid
29.04.23	Rebeka Masarova - Maria Sakkari	1:2 ✺
27.04.23	Arantxa Rus - Maria Sakkari	0:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
19.04.23	Karolina Pliskova - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
24.03.23	Maria Sakkari - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
17.03.23	Maria Sakkari - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
18.03.22	Paula Badosa - Maria Sakkari	1:2
WTA Finals
13.11.21	Maria Sakkari - Paula Badosa	0:2

Paula Badosa - Maria Sakkari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide