Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 May 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: MADRID (SPAIN) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	00:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	SportKlub
Brazil	11:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	16:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	16:00	O2 TV Tenis
France	16:00	beIN Sports
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports
Hungary	16:00	Match 4
Poland	16:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	15:00	Eleven Sports
Romania	17:00	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	16:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	16:00	SportKlub
Ukraine	17:00	Setanta Sports


	Maria Sakkari		Aryna Sabalenka

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.36
	3.15	1.37
	3.1	1.37
	3.4	1.37
	3.1	1.36
	3.22	1.35	Watch
	3.2	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.15)	1.37 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Sakkari
29.9%

Aryna Sabalenka
70.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Maria Sakkari - Aryna Sabalenka Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Sakkari will win (votes: 12 - 26.7%). Sabalenka will win (votes: 33 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 60.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sakkari won 2.

Now both players are in good shape.

Sakkari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sabalenka is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sabalenka to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sakkari won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Sakkari
WTA Madrid
02.05.23	Maria Sakkari - Irina-Camelia Begu	2:1 ✺
01.05.23	Paula Badosa - Maria Sakkari	0:2 ✺
29.04.23	Rebeka Masarova - Maria Sakkari	1:2 ✺
27.04.23	Arantxa Rus - Maria Sakkari	0:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
19.04.23	Karolina Pliskova - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL
- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Madrid
02.05.23	Mayar Sherif - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2 ✺
01.05.23	Mirra Andreeva - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
29.04.23	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
27.04.23	Sorana Cirstea - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
23.04.23	Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
17.03.23	Maria Sakkari - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Finals
02.11.22	Maria Sakkari - Aryna Sabalenka	2:0
15.11.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Maria Sakkari	1:2
WTA Abu Dhabi
12.01.21	Maria Sakkari - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Doha
26.02.20	Maria Sakkari - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Dubai
18.02.20	Maria Sakkari - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2
WTA Zhuhai
22.10.19	Aryna Sabalenka - Maria Sakkari	2:0

Maria Sakkari - Aryna Sabalenka