Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Nogent-sur-Marne (France), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday


	Pauline Payet		Federica Urgesi

	1	2
	2.95	1.33
	3.05	1.31
	3.11	1.32	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.18	1.32	Watch
	3.05	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (3.08)	1.32 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pauline Payet
29.9%

Federica Urgesi
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pauline Payet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pauline Payet than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Pauline Payet - Federica Urgesi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Payet is ranked WTA: 834. Urgesi is ranked WTA: 733.

Recent matches Payet is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Urgesi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Payet could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Urgesi is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pauline Payet
ITF Tournaments
12.09.24	Pauline Payet - Margaux Rouvroy	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	Pauline Payet - Nigina Abduraimova	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Veronika Podrez - Pauline Payet	2:0 ✺
06.09.24	Ana Grubor - Pauline Payet	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Anastasiia Firman - Pauline Payet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWLWW
- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
03.09.24	Federica Urgesi - Maria Sara Popa	0:2 ✺
28.08.24	Federica Urgesi - Amarissa Kiara Toth	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Alessandra Mazzola - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
06.08.24	Erika Sema - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Nuria Brancaccio - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLL

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