Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HELSINKI (FINLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 November 2022, Tuesday


	Pavel Kotov		Altug Celikbilek

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.35	3.1
	1.36	3.05
	1.39	3.04
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.94	Watch
	1.36	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)	3 ↑ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
68.8%

Altug Celikbilek
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pavel Kotov's performance.

Altug Celikbilek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altug Celikbilek might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altug Celikbilek than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	0%	19%

Pavel Kotov - Altug Celikbilek Predictions

Users Predictions: Pavel Kotov will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Celikbilek could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kotov is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kotov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
11.11.22	Otto Virtanen - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
10.11.22	Pablo Andujar-Alba - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
08.11.22	Alexander Ritschard - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
16.10.22	Pavel Kotov - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Pavel Kotov - Peter Gojowczyk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW
- Altug Celikbilek
ATP Challenger
08.11.22	Altug Celikbilek - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
03.11.22	Altug Celikbilek - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
01.11.22	Alibek Kachmazov - Altug Celikbilek	1:2 ✺
31.10.22	Altug Celikbilek - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Altug Celikbilek - Kenny De Schepper	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.01.20	Pavel Kotov - Altug Celikbilek	0:2
12.11.19	Pavel Kotov - Altug Celikbilek	0:2

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