Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Pavel Kotov		Elias Ymer

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.57
	2.4	1.54	Watch
	2.32	1.54
	2.38	1.59
	2.25	1.57
	2.31	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.11)	1.57 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
40.3%

Elias Ymer
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Pavel Kotov - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Ymer will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 56.3% – 96.7%.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ymer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ymer will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Astana
20.09.21	Evgeny Donskoy - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
19.09.21	Pavel Kotov - Kacper Zuk	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.08.21	Pavel Kotov - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
18.08.21	Carlos Taberner - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
17.08.21	Pavel Kotov - Marco Bortolotti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLW
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
07.10.21	Dennis Novak - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
05.10.21	Lucas Pouille - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
28.09.21	Elias Ymer - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
ATP Astana
21.09.21	Elias Ymer - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
20.09.21	Maxime Cressy - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLLW

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